The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is calculated by dividing a stock's market price per share by its earnings per share. Thus, when the price of a stock rises and earnings remain constant, the P/E ratio will rise, diluting the stock's value. There are a number of factors that can cause a stock's value to increase or decrease when investors buy or sell shares in response to them.
Tips
Factors that could influence a firm's P/E ratio include investor sentiment, debt acquisition, general market instability and earnings reports, among others.
Exploring Company Growth
Companies that reinvest earnings, building new factories and otherwise expanding their operations, sometimes have relatively high P/E ratios. This occurs because many investors are willing to buy the stock at higher and higher share prices in expectation of a future payoff from the company's investment. Likewise, investing in future growth does not always immediately translate into higher current earnings.
Dividends and the Ratio
Paying dividends can cause a company's P/E ratio to rise. Paying dividends does not increase earnings, yet many investors are willing to pay higher prices for stocks to receive regular dividend payments. Demand for divident-paying stock goes up when interest rates are low, since dividends can be a good alternative to low interest, and goes down when interest rates are high. Thus, it makes sense that investors would be willing to pay higher share prices to earn cash dividends.
Fear and Greed
Stock prices are not always determined as a result of rational investor behavior. Stock prices also rise and fall in response to fear and greed, whether in response to overall market conditions or prevailing investor wisdom about a particular company and its stock. When stock prices are steadily rising, investors can become greedy, buying shares at higher prices in expectation of even higher prices. When stocks are falling, investors can panic and sell their shares out of fear they will fall even further, bringing prices down. Fear and greed do not have the same impact on earnings, so P/E ratios will rise and fall with rising and falling stock prices.
Evaluating Company Debt
When a company increases its debt, it can cause the P/E ratio for its stock to fall. Many investors concerned that the costs of higher debt will negatively impact the company's future earnings sell their shares in response, causing share prices to decline. Thus, a lower P/E ratio does not always indicate higher stock value. Sometimes P/E ratios fall in response to increased risk. This is effectively the opposite of P/E ratios rising in response to expectations of future growth. Investors believe that debt will constrain the company's growth and price the stock accordingly.
References
- The Motley Fool: How to Calculate the Value of Stock With the Price-to-Earnings Ratio
- P!nk - Try (Official Music Video) - YouTube
- S&P 500 Dividend Yield
- Macro Trends. "S&P 500 PE Ratio - 90 Year Historical Chart." Accessed August 14, 2020.
- Yahoo Finance. "Walmart Inc. (WMT)." Accessed August 14, 2020.
- Walmart. "Annual Report 2017," Page 36. Accessed August 14, 2020.
- NYU Stern School of Business. “PE Ratio by Sector (US).” Accessed November 5, 2020.
- Multpl.com. “S&P 500 PE Ratio.” Accessed November 5, 2020.
Writer Bio
Donald Harder has been writing financial-related articles since 2000 when he founded the firm Securities Research Services. He has worked as a speech writer for the U.S. Department of Justice and written white papers and studies for the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. Harder holds a Master of Arts in international affairs from George Washington University.